Psychiatric Bulletin (2005) 29: 131-133. doi: 10.1192/pb.29.4.131
© 2005 The Royal College of Psychiatrists
Psychiatric Bulletin (2005) 29: 131-133
© 2005 The Royal College of Psychiatrists
Assessing violence risk in general adult psychiatry
Nicola Higgins, Honorary Researcher
Section of Community Psychiatry (PRiSM), Health Services Research
Department, Institute of Psychiatry, De Crespigny Park, London SE5 8AF,
e-mail:
n.higgins{at}iop.kcl.ac.uk
David Watts, Researcher,
Jonathan Bindman, Senior Lecturer,
Mike Slade, MRC Clinical Scientist Fellow and
Graham Thornicroft, Professor of Community Psychiatry
Institute of Psychiatry, London
Declaration of interest
This work was funded by a grant from the Policy Research Programme,
Research and Development Division, Department of Health in England. The views
expressed in this publication are those of the authors and not necessarily
those of the Department of Health.
See editorial, pp.
121-122, this issue. 

Abstract
AIMS AND METHOD
We aimed to establish current practice in the risk assessment of harm to
others within general adult psychiatry and review risk assessment
documentation in use. Consultants working across 66 randomly selected trusts
across England were surveyed. A qualitative analysis of risk assessment
documentation was carried out.
RESULTS
Data were obtained from 45 trusts (68%). Consultants reported that 30 (67%)
of the trusts had standardised forms for risk assessment. Forty-one forms were
subjected to content analysis. Wide variation was found in the methods used to
identify risk factors and in approaches to quantifying risk.
CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS
Current risk assessment practice is highly variable, indicating a lack of
consensus about suitable methods.

Introduction
Government policy stipulates that service users risk
of harm to
others should be routinely assessed by specialist
mental health services
(
Department of Health, 2000).
Responsibility
for this assessment and its documentation now affects the
practice
of all mental health professionals
(
Duggan, 1997). This increasing
emphasis on risk has not been universally welcomed. It has
been argued that it
compounds the public perception of people
with mental illness as dangerous
(
Petch, 2001), and consumes
resources without a sound evidence base for doing so
(
Bindman et al, 2000).
An analysis of inquiries into homicides by people
with mental illness found
the role of risk assessment to be
limited and concluded that the most
effective preventative
strategy would be improving treatment for all patients,
regardless
of perceived risk (
Munro &
Rumgay, 2000).
Proponents of risk assessment argue that it simply requires basic clinical
skills (Snowden, 1997), that
the process itself can be valuable
(Holloway, 1998), and that it
is inseparable from risk management
(Kennedy, 2001). Research has
identified relevant dispositional, historical and situational risk factors for
violence (Monahan & Steadman,
1994), and it has been suggested that actuarial methods might
enhance predictive accuracy (Dolan &
Doyle, 2000). Actuarial methods are, however, unlikely to be of
use in populations with low base rates of violence, in which large numbers of
false positives would be generated
(Szmukler, 2001). This
presents a difficulty for generalists who are required to assess violence risk
routinely (Holloway, 1997), but
without clear methods for doing so.
A previous study of the Supervision Register policy, which also required
risk assessments within general psychiatric services, showed widespread
variations between trusts in the criteria for identifying high-risk patients
and suggested that several different methods were used
(Bindman et al, 2000).
We surveyed a representative sample of mental health trusts and aimed to first
establish current violence risk assessment practice and second, describe and
evaluate documentation produced at a local level with the intention of
supporting violence risk assessment. This survey was a component of a wider
project (the Clinical Assessment of Risk Decision Support, or
CARDS study) to develop an evidence-based procedure for
assessing violence risk in patients using adult mental health services
(Watts et al,
2004).

Method
We designed a brief semi-structured questionnaire about the
use of risk
assessment documentation, training and guidelines
in trusts (available from
the authors). From a database of
all mental health trusts in England developed
for a previous
study (
Bindman et
al, 1999), 66 were randomly selected. They
were contacted and
the names obtained of two general adult
consultants for each trust. The
consultants were sent the questionnaire
by post and asked to send copies of
their trusts risk
assessment forms and guidelines for their use where
these were
available. A second questionnaire was sent to non-respondents
after
6 weeks, followed by a telephone reminder. A content
analysis of the risk
assessment forms was then carried out.
Principal themes and the different
components used in assessments
were identified independently by two of the
authors (N.H. &
J.B.), and a consensus reached.

Results
Survey response
At least one consultant responded from 45 of the 66 trusts (68%
trust
response rate). Of these 45 trusts, 30 (67%) were reported
by the consultants
to have standardised written forms for assessing
the risk of violence and a
further 2 (4%) were in the process
of developing forms. Twenty-one trusts
(47%) provided training
for their use, mostly in the form of half-day
multidisciplinary
sessions incorporating wider risk issues. It was of note
that
where training was in place, many respondents commented that
they had not
attended it. Fifteen trusts (33%) provided written
guidelines. A risk
assessment form was usually completed at
the time of referral in 20 trusts
(44%); at hospital admission
in 26 trusts (58%); before discharge in 25 trusts
(56%); after
expression of concern about safety to others in 20 trusts (44%);
after a violent incident in 22 trusts (49%); or most often
at the CPA review
in 29 trusts (64%). Thirteen (29%) of the
forms used included a proposed
review date.
Structure and content of risk assessment forms
Forty-one forms were returned for analysis; several trusts had more than
one form in use, depending on the hospital or community context. All violence
risk assessments were subsumed within or appended to general risk assessment
forms that included self-harm. In broad terms, three objectives from the forms
emerged:
- identification of specific risk factors
- appraisal of overall risk
- risk management planning.
Risk factors were identified by tick box screens, narrative sections or by
using a combination of both. Different components used with these approaches
are shown in Box 1. Risk was summated in one of four ways, as shown in Box
2.
An example of a structured narrative approach is shown in Box 3. This
contrasts markedly with forms using tick boxes alone, which recorded answers
to questions such as Does the client have a history of violence?
as simply yes or no without further elaboration.
Although all forms shared the aims of identifying risk factors and appraising
overall risk, it was noteworthy that only around half included a risk
management plan or a section prompting further action from a positive screen,
e.g. to collate further information or perform a more in-depth analysis.
| Box 1. Methods for identifying risk indicators
Tick box sections
- Past history of violence
- Current factors increasing risk (e.g. substance misuse)
- Social/demographic factors
- Current symptoms (e.g. command hallucinations)
- Dispositional factors (e.g. impulsivity)
- Possession of weapons
- Threat posed to any identified individual
- Historical factors (e.g. childhood emotional deprivation)
Narrative sections
- Unstructured account of past violence
- Structured account of past violence, context and outcome
- Unstructured account of current risk indicators
- Structured account of current risk indicators
|
| Box 2. Methods for summating risk indicators
- Dichotomous division: yes or no
- Grading: high/medium/low
- Scoring (weighted or otherwise)
- Narrative formulation
|
| Box 3. Example of a structured narrative approach
- Is there evidence of violence particularly preceded by changes in mental
state? If yes, describe. Give details of any plans or specific threats to
harm a person. Do they have access to potential victims, particularly those
incorporated into delusional systems? Are there specific trigger factors? Who
needs to be aware of this risk?
- Is there evidence of poor compliance with treatment or disengaging from
services? If yes, then how will this affect the management of any
identified risk?
- Is there evidence of rootlessness or social restlessness (homelessness,
social isolation, frequent changes of address or employment)? If yes, then
how will this affect the management of any identified risks?
- Is there evidence of substance misuse? If yes, how does this affect
the management of any identified risks?
- Are there aspects of their mental state that may constitute or
exacerbate risk (these may include: persecutory delusions, morbid jealousy,
passivity)? If yes, describe.
- History (chronology of events)
- Have any of the above factors changed recently? If yes,
describe.
- Opinion
- What other information is required to complete the assessment?
Include: seriousness, immediacy, volatility, specific interventions and
treatment that will reduce risk, circumstances that may increase it. How long
is this opinion current?
|

Discussion
Principal findings
The responses from the survey suggest that most trusts have
standard risk
forms incorporating the assessment of violence
and around half provide
training for their use, although many
consultants do not attend. In comparing
the forms themselves,
there was evidence of striking variation. In identifying
risk
factors, forms varied considerably in their content and complexity.
Unstructured narrative sections would appear to rely on the
knowledge of the
person completing the form as to what information
is relevant; tick-box
completion, by contrast, has the advantage
of prompting the consideration of
pertinent factors. However,
simply ticking a box to indicate a risk factor as
present arguably
communicates little useful information. For example, how a
patient
understands and responds to passivity experiences, and what
the person
completing the form is describing when they say
they are present, is crucial
for putting a risk factor into
the context of actual risk for that individual.
Structured
narrative sections appear to combine the best elements of both
methods by directing the focus of inquiry while allowing risk
factors to be
contextualised. Some forms only identified discrete
risk factors; here risk
assessment is arguably
a misnomer, as assessment implies some
form of weighing up
of available information.
The rationale behind using scoring or grading systems to summarise risk was
not clear. Scores may be reproducible, and thus seem scientific,
but their validity for use with the general population is questionable. There
was often a lack of direction as to how a score or grade should be
meaningfully interpreted. A score or grade as the conclusion of a risk
assessment may be a false positive or negative, which may mislead management.
A narrative summation has the advantage of collating what is actually known
for that individual, and allows the balancing of risk and mitigating
factors.
Around half of the forms did not include a plan for managing any identified
risk. It could be argued that assessing risk should not be an end in itself.
Clinical management plans are detailed elsewhere in care programme approach
documentation, but these do not necessarily demand a specific focus on risk
behaviour.
Strengths and weaknesses of the study
This study is the first to provide an overview of violence risk assessment
practice in England. The trust response rate (68%) and the number of forms
analysed (41) was sufficiently high to be representative. As this was the
first study of its kind, we did not measure form quality in a reproducible
way; there is not as yet any gold standard for forms to be
judged against. The main limitation of this study was the reliance on the
consultants reports of trust policies and their best estimations of
current practice in their area.
Implications
Trusts in England are in the main complying with the Department of
Healths requirement to assess risk of violence. How this requirement is
interpreted varies considerably between trusts. This is at odds with a culture
of evidence-based practice.
Unanswered questions and future research
A consensus needs to be reached as to what risk assessment should entail in
general psychiatry. Given the current state of knowledge, we would suggest
that this should include semi-structured methods and not scoring or weighting
systems, which in this context are somewhat specious.

References
- BINDMAN, J., BECK, A., GLOVER, G., et al
(1999) Evaluating mental health policy in England: The Care
Programme Approach and Supervision Registers. British Journal of
Psychiatry, 195, 327
-330.
- BINDMAN, J., BECK, A., THORNICROFT, G., et al
(2000) Which psychiatric patients are at greatest risk and in
greatest need? Impact of the Supervision Register Policy. British
Journal of Psychiatry, 177, 33
-37.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
- DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH (2000) Effective Care
Co-ordination in Mental Health Services: Modernising the Care Programme
Approach. London: HMSO.
- DOLAN, M. & DOYLE, M. (2000) Violence risk
prediction: Clinical and actuarial measures and the role of the Psychopathy
Checklist. British Journal of Psychiatry,
177, 303
-311.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
- DUGGAN, C. (1997) Assessing risk in the mentally
disordered: introduction. British Journal of
Psychiatry, 170 (suppl. 32), 1
-3.[Free Full Text]
- HOLLOWAY, F. (1997) The assessment and management of
risk in psychiatry: can we do better? Psychiatric
Bulletin, 21, 283
-285.[Free Full Text]
- HOLLOWAY, F. (1998) Risk assessment.
British Journal of Psychiatry,
173, 540
-543.
- KENNEDY, H. (2001) Risk assessment is inseparable from
risk management: Comment on Szmuckler. Psychiatric
Bulletin, 25, 208
-211.[Free Full Text]
- MONAHAN, J. & STEADMAN, H. (1994) Toward a
rejuvenation of risk assessment research. In Violence and Mental
Disorder (eds J. Monahan & H. Steadman), pp. 1
-17. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago
Press.
- MUNRO, E. & RUMGAY, J. (2000) Role of risk
assessment in reducing homicides in people with mental illness.
British Journal of Psychiatry,
176, 116
-120.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
- PETCH, E. (2001) Risk management in UK mental health
services. Psychiatric Bulletin,
25, 203
-205.[Free Full Text]
- SNOWDEN, P. (1997) Practical aspects of clinical risk
assessment and management. British Journal of
Psychiatry, 170 (suppl. 32), 32
-34.
- SZMUKLER, G. (2001) Violence risk prediction in
practice. British Journal of Psychiatry,
178, 84-85.[Free Full Text]
- WATTS, D., BINDMAN, J., SLADE, M., et al
(2004) Clinical assessment of risk decision support (CARDS): The
development and evaluation of a feasible violence risk assessment for routine
psychiatric practice. Journal of Mental Health,
13, 569
-581.[CrossRef]
Related articles in PB:
- Violence risk assessment: The question is not whether but how
- Anthony Maden
PB 2005 29: 121-122.
[Full Text]
This article has been cited by other articles:

|
 |

|
 |
 
N. Masson, A. Liew, J. Taylor, and F. McGuigan
Risk assessment of psychiatric in-patients: audit of completion of a risk assessment tool
Psychiatr. Bull.,
January 1, 2008;
32(1):
13 - 14.
[Abstract]
[Full Text]
[PDF]
|
 |
|

|
 |

|
 |
 
A. Maden
Violence risk assessment: The question is not whether but how
Psychiatr. Bull.,
April 1, 2005;
29(4):
121 - 122.
[Full Text]
[PDF]
|
 |
|